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279 prediction markets we track right now, by section, busiest first. Each one links to its own page with the price history and the headlines that moved it.
US Politics 30
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Gavin Newsom 15.8%$1.3B
- Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance 20.1%$717.6M
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance 43.8%$713.8M
- California Governor Election WinnerXavier Becerra 96.4%$42.1M
- Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep 62.5%$25.5M
- Which party will win the House in 2026Democratic Party 91.5%$18.8M
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed byDecember 31 16.0%$17.3M
- Trump out as President before 20274.2%$12.8M
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026Democratic Party 64.5%$7.2M
- Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D) 62.5%$4.3M
- Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections≤47 39.5%$3.2M
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential ElectionDemocratic 65.0%$2.5M
- Maine Senate Election WinnerTroy Jackson (D) 63.5%$2.3M
- Michigan Senate Election WinnerAbdul El-Sayed (D) 70.5%$2.0M
- Alaska Governor Election WinnerJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 79.0%$1.6M
- Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary Peltola (D) 73.5%$1.5M
- Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D) 63.5%$1.4M
- Kansas Senate Election WinnerRoger Marshall (R) 62.5%$925K
- Iowa Senate Election WinnerAshley Hinson (R) 58.5%$918K
- South Carolina Senate Election WinnerDarline Graham Nordone (R) 82.5%$872K
- Nebraska Senate Election WinnerPete Ricketts (R) 71.5%$737K
- New Hampshire Senate Election WinnerChris Pappas (D) 88.5%$400K
- Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm electionsBelow 190 26.5%$339K
- Minnesota Senate Election WinnerPeggy Flanagan (D) 86.5%$282K
- Georgia Senate Election WinnerJon Ossoff (D) 96.0%$248K
- Florida Senate Election WinnerAshley Moody (R) 90.5%$239K
- North Carolina Senate Election WinnerRoy Cooper (D) 96.1%$232K
- Mississippi Senate Election WinnerCindy Hyde-Smith (R) 87.5%$187K
- Montana Senate Election WinnerKurt Alme (R) 91.5%$184K
- 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of VictoryDemocrats 8-10% 28.5%$161K
World 165
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 76.5%$188.8M
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 46.7%$154.1M
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control byDecember 31 7.5%$76.3M
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next electionGadi Eisenkot 48.1%$49.4M
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 20262.1%$44.4M
- US announces end of Iranian blockade byMarch 31 61.5%$41.6M
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues throughOctober 21 98.2%$37.2M
- Putin out as President of Russia byJune 30, 2027 9.5%$29.7M
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 20274.5%$27.6M
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal byDecember 31 13.5%$20.1M
- US-Iran ceasefire continues throughOctober 22 93.0%$19.0M
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile byDecember 31 7.5%$18.2M
- Iran full airspace closure byDecember 31 32.5%$10.3M
- NATO x Russia military clash byDecember 31 27.5%$9.6M
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement byDecember 31, 2027 69.0%$9.0M
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon byDecember 31, 2027 33.5%$8.5M
- Next Prime Minister of RomaniaLuca Niculescu 98.2%$5.6M
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by4.5%$5.5M
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by12.0%$3.8M
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027No meeting before 2027 95.7%$3.8M
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 20265.5%$3.6M
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 20279.5%$3.5M
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by3.8%$3.5M
- China x Taiwan military clash before 20272.8%$3.5M
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement byDecember 31 33.0%$3.2M
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <4% 41.5%$3.2M
- Will Hezbollah disarm by7.0%$3.1M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 311.2%$2.9M
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by14.0%$2.9M
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire byDecember 31 11.5%$2.5M
- Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23No Hormuz Agreement 93.6%$2.3M
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement byDecember 31 30.5%$2.2M
- Iran coup attempt byDecember 31, 2027 21.0%$2.2M
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by5.0%$2.2M
- US-Yemen ceasefire continues throughOctober 21 98.7%$2.1M
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by3.1%$2.1M
- Next Prime Minister of SpainAlberto Núñez Feijóo 82.0%$2.0M
- Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by6.6%$1.9M
- Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027Somaliland 14.0%$1.8M
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31Steve Witkoff 36.0%$1.6M
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks byDecember 31 37.0%$1.6M
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5%$1.6M
- China x Japan military clash before 20273.9%$1.4M
- Taipei Mayor Election WinnerChiang Wan-an 58.5%$1.4M
- Next leader out of power before 2027None before 2027 47.0%$1.4M
- Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midtermsNo Hormuz Agreement 87.5%$1.3M
- Greece x Turkey military engagement by4.4%$1.3M
- Israeli Legislative Election WinnerYashar 72.5%$1.2M
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by..14.5%$1.1M
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 310.3%$1.1M
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen onOctober 6 88.0%$1.0M
- India strike on Pakistan by10.0%$1.0M
- Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31Venezuela 7.5%$928K
- Romanian PM Bolojan out byOctober 31 99.6%$907K
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain byJanuary 31, 2027 60.5%$882K
- Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 314.6%$872K
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms77.5%$824K
- Israel Election: Likud number of seats20-24 38.5%$814K
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by11.0%$777K
- Will Russia target Kyiv onOctober 21 92.0%$733K
- Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026Japan 18.0%$683K
- Erdoğan out by3.5%$650K
- Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo2.9%$642K
- Who will visit Ukraine by December 31Mark Rutte 35.0%$629K
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting byDecember 31 71.5%$629K
- 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballotJean-Luc Mélenchon 93.7%$569K
- China x Philippines military clash before 202724.5%$546K
- Will Israel annex any territory by4.0%$539K
- Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by6.5%$538K
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 20276.0%$517K
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 20277.5%$479K
- Will Ukraine target Moscow onOctober 21 74.0%$472K
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 20273.2%$450K
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 20262.0%$438K
- Modi out by December 31, 20263.5%$410K
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027Mexico 13.0%$403K
- Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced byDecember 31 30.5%$401K
- Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd roundMarine Le Pen 90.0%$394K
- Party of Next Prime Minister of RomaniaIndependent/Technocrat 98.7%$361K
- UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 20265.6%$355K
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 202713.5%$335K
- China x India military clash by6.0%$333K
- Israel military action against Yemen by8.8%$331K
- 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party WinnerKuomintang (KMT) 69.0%$311K
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 20265.3%$310K
- KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 316.0%$274K
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by6.0%$273K
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 20273.6%$249K
- Yoon out of custody before 20275.1%$235K
- Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate ComboBolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems 36.5%$231K
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in AmapáFlávio Bolsonaro 68.5%$216K
- Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice18.5%$209K
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 20274.5%$186K
- UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27Spain 32.0%$183K
- Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet nextNo meeting by December 31, 2027 82.5%$177K
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 20264.5%$177K
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by5.0%$176K
- Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take placeNo Meeting by December 31 59.0%$169K
- UEFA EURO 2028: WinnerSpain 22.5%$168K
- China coup attempt by3.5%$166K
- Israel military action against Lebanon onOctober 20 98.6%$166K
- Israel military action against Syria byNovember 30 31.0%$163K
- Will Iran target Qatar by3.9%$146K
- Prabowo Subianto out as President of Indonesia byJune 30, 2027 7.5%$145K
- Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by9.5%$143K
- New Taipei Mayor Election WinnerSu Chiao-hui 59.5%$139K
- Next Mayor of JohannesburgHelen Zille 55.5%$128K
- Romanian parliament dissolved by2.9%$126K
- Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by6.5%$123K
- Saudi troops fighting in Yemen byDecember 31, 2026 14.5%$120K
- Spain General Election WinnerPP 84.5%$120K
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by9.0%$120K
- Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad4.2%$116K
- Eritrea invades Ethiopia byDecember 31 16.5%$112K
- Which coalition will form the next Romanian governmentPSD 97.9%$109K
- Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 20263.9%$107K
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place AbroadLula 67.5%$105K
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in AmazonasLula 61.5%$104K
- Will Israel election happen as scheduled93.1%$100K
- Which parties will be part of the next government of RomaniaPSD 99.4%$97K
- Next Prime Minister of ItalyGiorgia Meloni 53.0%$95K
- Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd PlaceTogether 76.0%$93K
- Pakistan military action against Yemen byDecember 31 13.5%$91K
- Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd PlacePAN 76.0%$86K
- Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31Egypt 18.5%$81K
- Japan Core CPI YoY in 20262.0-2.4% 68.8%$77K
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in ParáLula 80.5%$74K
- Next Romania PM appointed byDecember 31 99.3%$74K
- Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 20264.3%$73K
- Will any country join the Mecca Agreement byDecember 31 20.0%$65K
- Who will Trump endorse for President of BrazilFlávio Bolsonaro 18.0%$61K
- US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey byDecember 31 27.5%$56K
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 318.6%$53K
- Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)Lulaman Oditi-Titi 8.1%$49K
- Modi out by June 30, 202710.5%$47K
- Turkey rejoins F-35 program byJune 30, 2027 42.5%$46K
- Carles Puigdemont back in Spain byDecember 31 60.5%$46K
- Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)Khathutshelo Rasilingwane 24.1%$46K
- Will Iran target Syria by2.9%$45K
- Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd PlaceLikud 70.0%$42K
- Eurovision 2027 ParticipantsNorth Macedonia 98.8%$41K
- UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)Serbia 88.0%$40K
- Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 20264.2%$40K
- Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri 96.3%$38K
- Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take placeUAE 42.5%$38K
- Which countries will Clavicular visit in 2026Japan 18.0%$36K
- Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)Haniff Hoosen 41.0%$35K
- Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 20265.0%$35K
- Prime Minister of Australia after next electionAnthony Albanese 39.0%$34K
- Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)Babalwa Lobishe 19.3%$33K
- Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 315.1%$33K
- Will Iran target Egypt by3.2%$32K
- Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)Ncedo Kumbaca 16.5%$30K
- No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by2.8%$29K
- Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 3123.5%$28K
- Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)Cilliers Brink 49.5%$26K
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas GeraisFlávio Bolsonaro 92.1%$26K
- Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 20262.6%$26K
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout78-80% 58.0%$24K · thin
- Taoyuan Mayor Election WinnerChang San-cheng 84.5%$24K · thin
- Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerAhmed Galadima 38.0%$22K · thin
- Delta, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerOborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor 68.0%$22K · thin
- Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority14.0%$21K · thin
- Taichung Mayor Election WinnerJohnny Chiang 73.0%$21K · thin
- Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte73.5%$20K · thin
Economy 37
- How many Fed rate cuts in 20260 (0 bps) 97.0%$54.5M
- Fed Decision in OctoberNo change 86.5%$50.3M
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027Perplexity AI 11.0%$18.4M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 3112.5%$15.3M
- Largest Company end of December 2026NVIDIA 71.5%$8.6M
- IPOs before 2027Anthropic 75.5%$7.5M
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026SpaceX 70.5%$6.6M
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit by December 31↑$1.5T 87.5%$5.9M
- Anthropic IPO byDecember 31, 2026 77.5%$5.1M
- Crude Oil all time high byMarch 31, 2027 22.5%$5.0M
- Fed Decision in December25 bps increase 77.5%$4.1M
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026↓ $95 52.5%$3.3M
- Will GameStop acquire eBay7.5%$3.2M
- AI bubble burst byJune 30, 2027 20.5%$3.1M
- OpenAI IPO byJune 30, 2027 33.5%$3.1M
- US recession by end of 20266.5%$2.3M
- Anthropic announces bankruptcy byDecember 31, 2029 23.5%$2.1M
- What will Gold (GC) hit by end of December↓ $3,500 10.5%$2.1M
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap$1.75–$2.0T 25.5%$2.0M
- Richest person on December 31, 2026Elon Musk 97.1%$1.9M
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027↑ 4.25% 80.2%$1.9M
- How high will inflation get in 2026Above 4.5% 14.5%$1.5M
- STRC hits $100 byDecember 31 75.5%$1.4M
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit by December 31↑$1.25T 83.5%$1.3M
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 20275.4% 40.0%$1.0M
- Fed Decision in JanuaryNo change 57.5%$658K
- Bank of Japan Decision in OctoberNo change 97.0%$254K
- Bank of Russia decision in OctoberNo Change 86.0%$155K
- Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) byNovember 30 45.0%$151K
- India Annual Inflation 20264.50%+ 97.8%$103K
- South Africa Annual Inflation 2026>5.0% 83.9%$95K
- Bank of Mexico Decision in NovemberNo change 62.5%$73K
- South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 20262.5–2.9% 34.5%$62K
- South Korea Annual Inflation 20262.7% to 2.9% 44.7%$59K
- Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)0.0%–0.8% 32.0%$45K
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 20263.0%+ 49.5%$42K
- October Inflation US - Annual3.7% 82.5%$18K · thin
Tech & Science 11
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist byDecember 31 4.4%$74.3M
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026↑4.5k 99.9%$8.2M
- Indiana enacts data center moratorium byDecember 31, 2028 26.5%$6.1M
- Which company has the best AI model end of OctoberGoogle 73.8%$3.0M
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026Anthropic 51.5%$2.6M
- Human moon landing in 20260.9%$2.0M
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released byNovember 30 21.0%$1.7M
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced byDecember 31, 2027 64.5%$1.5M
- New pandemic in 20263.8%$1.3M
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by3.3%$1.1M
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026South Sudan 35.5%$68K
Crypto 13
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026↑ 90,000 51.5%$76.6M
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 20265.7%$24.1M
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026↓ 2,250 66.0%$18.2M
- What price will Bitcoin hit in October↑ 82,500 83.5%$8.9M
- Predict.fun FDV above one day after launch$50M 97.3%$7.1M
- Opensea FDV above one day after launch$100M 10.5%$6.9M
- Puffpaw FDV above one day after launch$50M 21.0%$5.6M
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 20263.0%$5.3M
- Extended FDV above one day after launch$150M 63.0%$4.0M
- Variational FDV above one day after launch$200M 98.1%$3.6M
- What price will Ethereum hit in October↓ 2,300 62.5%$2.3M
- What price will Solana hit in 2026↓ 90 53.0%$2.2M
- StandX FDV above one day after launch$2B 2.6%$1.8M
Sports 10
- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli 97.9%$204.5M
- Pro Football: 2027 ChampionSan Francisco 49ers 15.4%$68.6M
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 ChampionBarcelona 23.5%$56.0M
- Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Harry Kane 72.1%$55.1M
- MLB World Series Champion 2026Milwaukee Brewers 62.1%$45.5M
- NBA: 2027 ChampionSan Antonio Spurs 22.5%$26.8M
- EPL: 2027 ChampionArsenal 63.5%$22.8M
- MLS Cup Winner 2026Vancouver Whitecaps FC 19.5%$22.2M
- LALIGA: 2027 ChampionBarcelona 81.5%$9.0M
- Worlds 2026: WinnerGen.G 31.5%$1.9M
Weather & Climate 13
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record1 80.5%$3.8M
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 202617–19 18.5%$1.5M
- How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 20262 6.8%$1.2M
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 20271.2%$833K
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 202710.0%$351K
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 20274.0%$333K
- Natural Disaster in 202611.0%$251K
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026Greater than 8 47.0%$193K
- When will the Danube River return to normal levelsDoes not return by November 1, 2026 85.5%$154K
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 20268.1%$148K
- When will the Rhine River return to normal levelsOctober 1 - 31, 2026 65.5%$145K
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 20274.2%$143K
- What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El NiñoOver 2.5 72.5%$111K