UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
$112K traded on Polymarket, $329 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $112K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $329 of it in the past day, with $20K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on 1-2% is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by February 12, 2027, 116 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.