Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.3M traded on Polymarket, $5K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $1.3M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $5K of it in the past day, with $87K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Above $1.25T is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by January 4, 2027, 77 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Every outcome
These add up to 147%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.