PricedNews / World / Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31, 2026
World · settles by Dec 31, 2026
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31, 2026?
$1.3M traded on Polymarket, $0 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
Yes
4.4%
24h ▲0.17d ▲0.2
How it has moved
Daily closeYes
About this market
Who prices it. $1.3M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $0 of it in the past day, with $11K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Yes is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week. The latest headline we matched to it is “Turkey secures a strategic win over Greece as eastern Libya backs the maritime deal” (Middle East Eye, October 20, 2026).
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".