Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:34 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / World / US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026
World · settles by Dec 31, 2026

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?

$56K traded on Polymarket, $362 in the past day. Prices are delayed.

December 31
27.5%
24h ▼6.57d ▼13.5
October 31
17.5%
24h ▲6.07d ▲9.5

How it has moved

Daily close
December 31October 31
0%25%50%75%100%AugSepOct27.5%17.5%

About this market

Who prices it. $56K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $362 of it in the past day, with $1K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31 is 17 points, a wide spread, so the price can jump on small orders.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

Every outcome

27.5%December 31▼13.5 7d
17.5%October 31▲9.5 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.