Who prices it. $414K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $3K of it in the past day, with $417K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Delcy Rodríguez is 0.2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 30, 2026, 72 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Every outcome
94.9%Delcy Rodríguez▲1.4 7d
3.0%María Corina Machado▼0.2 7d
1.3%Dinorah Figuera▼0.2 7d
1.1%Marco Rubio▼0.9 7d
0.1%Nicolás Maduro0.0 7d
0.1%Diosdado Cabello Rondón0.0 7d
0.1%Jorge Rodríguez0.0 7d
0.1%Donald Trump0.0 7d
0.1%Vladimir Padrino López0.0 7d
0.1%Evan Pettus0.0 7d
0.1%Richard Grenell0.0 7d
0.1%No Head of State▼0.1 7d
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
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