Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 14:59 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / World / Next Prime Minister of Italy
World · settles by Dec 31, 2028

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

$95K traded on Polymarket, $771 in the past day. Prices are delayed.

Giorgia Meloni
52.5%
24h ▲0.57d ▼1.0
Elly Schlein
18.0%
24h ▲0.57d ▼0.5

How it has moved

Daily close
Giorgia MeloniElly SchleinGiuseppe Conte
0%25%50%75%100%MayJunJulAugSepOct53%18%18%

About this market

Who prices it. $95K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $771 of it in the past day, with $262K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Giorgia Meloni is 3 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2028, 804 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy.

Every outcome

52.5%Giorgia Meloni▼1.0 7d
18.0%Elly Schlein▼0.5 7d
18.0%Giuseppe Conte▲2.5 7d
8.5%Roberto Vannacci▲0.4 7d
5.1%Silvia Salis▼1.3 7d
0.9%Matteo Renzi0.0 7d
0.5%Matteo Salvini0.0 7d
0.5%Mario Draghi▼0.3 7d
0.4%Antonio Tajani0.0 7d
0.4%Angelo Bonelli▼0.1 7d
0.4%Carlo Calenda0.0 7d
0.3%Guido Crosetto0.0 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.