Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
$21K traded on Polymarket, $2K in the past day. Thin market: under $25K traded, so one order can move it.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $21K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $2K of it in the past day, with $11K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Yes is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read. At under $25K traded it counts as a thin market.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.