PricedNews / World / NATO x Russia military clash by January 2, 2027
World · settles by Jan 2, 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by January 2, 2027?
$9.6M traded on Polymarket, $215K in the past day.
December 31
28.5%
24h ▲3.07d ▲2.0
October 31
14.5%
24h ▲6.07d ▲7.0
How it has moved
Daily closeDecember 31October 31
About this market
Who prices it. $9.6M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $215K of it in the past day, with $127K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31 is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by January 2, 2027, 75 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
Every outcome
28.5%December 31▲2.0 7d
14.5%October 31▲7.0 7d
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.