Next leader out of power before 2027?
$1.4M traded on Polymarket, $127K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $1.4M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $127K of it in the past day, with $713K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on None before 2027 is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.