Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by June 30, 2027?
$120K traded on Polymarket, $0 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $120K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $0 of it in the past day, with $31K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31, 2026 is 3 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by June 30, 2027, 254 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.