PricedNews / Tech & Science / Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026
Tech & Science · settles by Dec 31, 2026
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$68K traded on Polymarket, $338 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
South Sudan
36.5%
24h ▲6.57d ▲11.5
Republic of the Congo
24.0%
24h ▼0.57d ▲3.0
How it has moved
Daily closeSouth SudanRepublic of the CongoRwanda
About this market
Who prices it. $68K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $338 of it in the past day, with $17K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on South Sudan is 17 points, a wide spread, so the price can jump on small orders.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week. The latest headline we matched to it is “Sudan army drones hit mourners and fuel market killing more than 200 people, sources say” (BBC, October 20, 2026).
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Every outcome
36.5%South Sudan▲11.5 7d
24.0%Republic of the Congo▲3.0 7d
19.5%Rwanda▼4.5 7d
17.5%Burundi▲1.5 7d
13.5%Ethiopia▲4.0 7d
13.0%India▼0.5 7d
12.0%United States▲0.5 7d
10.5%China▲2.0 7d
9.0%Canada▼1.0 7d
These add up to 156%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.