Bank of Brazil decision in December?
$27K traded on Polymarket, $1K in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $27K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $1K of it in the past day, with $7K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on 25 bps decrease is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 9, 2026, 50 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.