PricedNews / US Politics
US Politics
Congress, the White House and the 2028 race, as prediction markets price them.
Full coverage
2026 midterm election odds
Election Day Nov 3
Full coverage2028 presidential election odds
Nov 7, 2028
Biggest move today
Alaska Governor Election Winner: Bernadette Wilson down 3.0 points
Bernadette Wilson18.5%▼3.0 today
Traded$1.6M
The markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom15.8%▲0.3
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.0%▲0.2
Jon Ossoff14.7%▼0.5
$1.3B traded
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep62.5%0.0
R Senate, D House27.5%0.0
Republicans Sweep8.5%0.0
$25.5M traded
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance20.1%0.0
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.1%0.0
Jon Ossoff10.0%▼0.4
$717.6M traded
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance43.8%▼0.2
Marco Rubio15.1%▲0.9
Tucker Carlson3.0%0.0
$713.8M traded
Which party will win the House in 2026
Democratic Party91.5%▲1.0
Republican Party8.5%▼1.0
$18.8M traded
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)62.5%0.0
Ken Paxton (R)37.5%0.0
$4.3M traded
Which party will win the Senate in 2026
Democratic Party64.5%0.0
Republican Party36.5%0.0
$7.2M traded
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra96.4%▲0.4
Steve Hilton3.3%▼0.4
Tom Steyer0.1%0.0
$42.1M traded
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)70.5%▲1.0
Mike Rogers (R)30.5%0.0
$2.0M traded
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)63.5%▼2.0
Jon Husted (R)35.5%▲2.0
$1.4M traded
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by
December 3116.0%▼0.5
November 308.5%0.0
October 312.4%▼0.1
$17.3M traded
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R)82.5%▼2.0
Annie Andrews (D)17.5%▲1.0
$872K traded
Trump out as President before 2027
Yes4.2%▲0.7
$12.8M traded
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola (D)73.5%0.0
Dan Sullivan (R)25.5%0.0
$1.5M traded
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Pete Ricketts (R)71.5%▲1.0
Independent28.5%▼1.0
$737K traded
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
≤4739.5%▼1.0
4816.5%0.0
4912.5%0.0
$3.2M traded
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins79.0%▲0.4
Bernadette Wilson18.5%▼3.0
David Bronson0.4%▼0.1
$1.6M traded
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)63.5%▲2.0
Susan Collins (R)36.5%▼2.0
$2.3M traded