Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$27K traded on Polymarket, $187 in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeThe numbers behind the chart
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 46% |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 47% |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 31% |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 53% |
About this market
Who prices it. $27K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $187 of it in the past day, with $3K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Yes is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No single hour or day crossed our alert threshold this week. Over the week Yes is up 8.5 points.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 54 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
Questions
What are the odds: Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Yes is at 53.0% on Polymarket as of 02:15 UTC, Nov 8, with $27K traded.
How does this market settle?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).
When does it settle?
By December 31, 2026.