Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
$629K traded on Polymarket, $10K in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $629K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $10K of it in the past day, with $125K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31 is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Every outcome
These add up to 137%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.