Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$36.1M traded on Polymarket, $48K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeThe numbers behind the chart
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2025 | 7% |
| Feb 8, 2026 | 12.5% |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 9.1% |
| May 10, 2026 | 6.7% |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 5.8% |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 3.6% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 2.7% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 1.6% |
About this market
Who prices it. $36.1M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $48K of it in the past day, with $179K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Yes is 0.1 points, so the quoted price is a fair read. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No single hour or day crossed our alert threshold this week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 54 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
Questions
What are the odds: Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes is at 1.6% on Polymarket as of 02:35 UTC, Nov 8, with $36.1M traded.
How does this market settle?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
When does it settle?
By December 31, 2026.