Will Trump be impeached?
$1.2M traded on Polymarket, $19K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeThe numbers behind the chart
| Date | December 31, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | December 31, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | – | – | 15.5% |
| Oct 2, 2025 | – | – | 10.5% |
| Dec 8, 2025 | – | – | 17.5% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | – | – | 11.5% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | – | – | 13.5% |
| Jun 27, 2026 | – | – | 5.5% |
| Sep 2, 2026 | – | – | 2.4% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 56.5% | 37% | 1.3% |
About this market
Who prices it. $1.2M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $19K of it in the past day, with $220K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31, 2027 is 3 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No single hour or day crossed our alert threshold this week. Over the week December 31, 2027 is down 9.5 points.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 54 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
Questions
What are the odds: Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027 is at 56.5% on Polymarket as of 02:39 UTC, Nov 8, with $1.2M traded.
When does it settle?
By December 31, 2026.