Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$6.6M traded on Polymarket, $11K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $6.6M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $11K of it in the past day, with $572K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on SpaceX is 4 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by January 1, 2027, 74 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.