Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?
$298K traded on Polymarket, $0 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $298K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $0 of it in the past day, with $29K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on March 31, 2027 is 5 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by March 31, 2027, 163 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.