Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
$65K traded on Polymarket, $0 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $65K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $0 of it in the past day, with $2K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Yes is 8.7 points, a wide spread, so the price can jump on small orders.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all.
In the news
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