Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:32 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Crypto / Predict.fun FDV above one day after launch
Crypto · settles by Jan 1, 2028

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$7.1M traded on Polymarket, $6K in the past day.

$50M
97.3%
24h ▲0.67d ▼0.4
$100M
95.1%
24h ▼0.27d ▼0.4

How it has moved

Daily close
$50M$100M$200M
0%25%50%75%100%MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct97.3%95.1%92.5%

About this market

Who prices it. $7.1M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $6K of it in the past day, with $305K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on $50M is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by January 1, 2028, 438 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

Every outcome

97.3%$50M▼0.4 7d
95.1%$100M▼0.4 7d
92.5%$200M▼1.0 7d
89.5%$300M▲1.0 7d
83.0%$400M▼2.0 7d
78.5%$500M▲1.0 7d
71.0%$600M▼5.0 7d
55.0%$800M▼7.0 7d
38.0%$1B▼7.4 7d
27.8%$1.5B▼1.5 7d
21.3%$2B▲0.3 7d

These add up to 749%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.