Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$98.5M traded on Polymarket, $17K in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $98.5M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $17K of it in the past day, with $2.2M in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Nicolás Maduro is 0.9 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.