PricedNews / US Politics / Who will announce Presidential run before 2027
US Politics · settles by Dec 31, 2026
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$1.4M traded on Polymarket, $32K in the past day.
Rahm Emanuel
34.8%
24h ▼3.67d ▲11.1
Ron DeSantis
8.2%
24h ▼5.07d ▼1.4
How it has moved
Daily closeRahm EmanuelRon DeSantisTulsi Gabbard
The numbers behind the chart
| Date | Rahm Emanuel | Ron DeSantis | Tulsi Gabbard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 20% | 14% | 10% |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 6% | 12% | 8% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 10.5% | 13.5% | 11% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 13% | 9.5% | 6.4% |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 21% | 8% | 6.2% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 3.3% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 34.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
About this market
Who prices it. $1.4M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $32K of it in the past day, with $1.0M in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Rahm Emanuel is 3 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. The biggest move in the past week: Pete Buttigieg went from 11.3% to 6.1% on November 8, 2026. The latest headline we matched to it is “Cair shuts down Florida office as judge declines reversal of terrorist designation” (Middle East Eye, November 6, 2026).
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 54 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Every outcome
34.8%Rahm Emanuel▲11.1 7d
8.2%Ron DeSantis▼1.4 7d
7.7%Tulsi Gabbard▲3.1 7d
7.5%Gavin Newsom▼5.5 7d
7.5%Andy Beshear▼25.8 7d
7.0%Tucker Carlson▲2.7 7d
6.5%Rand Paul0.0 7d
6.5%J.B. Pritzker▼1.0 7d
5.6%Steve Bannon▲2.5 7d
5.5%Raphael Warnock▼3.5 7d
5.4%Pete Buttigieg▼15.4 7d
5.3%Ted Cruz▼4.1 7d
4.9%Mark Kelly▼4.3 7d
4.3%Phil Murphy▼9.1 7d
4.0%Brian Kemp▼1.5 7d
3.8%John Fetterman▼0.8 7d
3.6%Marjorie Taylor Greene▼0.9 7d
3.5%Gina Raimondo▼1.5 7d
3.5%Matt Gaetz▼0.1 7d
3.5%Gretchen Whitmer0.0 7d
These add up to 251%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.
In the news
Sen. Chris Murphy released from hospital after stroke, will miss votes for 'several weeks' as he rehabs
Moves we wrote up
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027: Pete Buttigieg falls 5.2 points in an hour
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027: Pete Buttigieg falls 12.9 points in a day
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027: Tulsi Gabbard falls 11.3 points in a day
Questions
What are the odds: Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Rahm Emanuel is at 34.8% on Polymarket as of 02:50 UTC, Nov 8, with $1.4M traded.
How does this market settle?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
When does it settle?
By December 31, 2026.