Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:43 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Economy / South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
Economy · settles by Jan 20, 2027

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

$95K traded on Polymarket, $749 in the past day.

>5.0%
84.0%
24h ▼2.07d ▲6.8
4.7-5.0%
6.5%
24h ▲0.47d ▼6.7

How it has moved

Daily close
>5.0%4.7-5.0%4.4-4.7%
0%25%50%75%100%FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct84%6.6%5.2%

About this market

Who prices it. $95K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $749 of it in the past day, with $10K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on >5.0% is 1.3 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week. The latest headline we matched to it is “South Africa's former deputy police chief facing sexual offenses denied bail” (Africanews, October 20, 2026).

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by January 20, 2027, 93 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.

Every outcome

84.0%>5.0%▲6.8 7d
6.5%4.7-5.0%▼6.7 7d
5.1%4.4-4.7%▼0.2 7d
3.4%4.1-4.4%▼1.5 7d
1.1%2.6-2.9%▲0.8 7d
0.6%2.9-3.2%▼1.2 7d
0.4%<2.6%0.0 7d
0.4%3.2-3.5%▼0.1 7d
0.4%3.5-3.8%▼0.2 7d
0.4%3.8-4.1%0.0 7d

In the news