Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$1.8M traded on Polymarket, $3K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $1.8M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $3K of it in the past day, with $183K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Somaliland is 6 points, a wide spread, so the price can jump on small orders.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.