Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$3.6M traded on Polymarket, $14K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $3.6M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $14K of it in the past day, with $469K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on $200M is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by January 1, 2028, 438 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
Every outcome
These add up to 557%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.