MLS Cup Winner 2026

About this market

Who prices it. $22.3M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $300K of it in the past day, with $740K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Vancouver Whitecaps FC is 0.9 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week. The latest headline we matched to it is “Union attacks NatWest plans to reduce working from home” (BBC, October 20, 2026).

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.