PricedNews / World
World
Elections, wars and ceasefires outside the US, priced by traders.
Full coverage
Brazil runoff odds
Sunday, Oct 25
Full coverageIsrael election odds
Tuesday, Oct 27
Full coverageFrance 2027 odds
April 18, 2027
Biggest move today
Will Ukraine target Moscow on: October 20 down 32.0 points
October 2047.0%▼32.0 today
Traded$472K
The markets
US-Iran ceasefire continues through
October 2293.0%▼2.3
October 2488.5%▼3.0
October 2881.5%▼5.0
$19.0M traded
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro76.5%▼0.3
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22.5%▼1.0
$188.8M traded
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election
Gadi Eisenkot48.1%▲0.5
Benjamin Netanyahu28.5%▲1.0
Naftali Bennett12.5%0.0
$49.4M traded
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%41.5%▲2.0
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%32.5%▲6.0
Lula da Silva <4%19.5%▼1.5
$3.2M traded
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen46.7%▼0.3
Édouard Philippe18.5%0.0
David Lisnard11.7%0.0
$154.1M traded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through
October 2198.2%▲0.7
October 3186.5%▼1.0
November 1568.5%▼2.0
$37.2M traded
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an58.5%▼0.5
Puma Shen40.9%▼0.1
$1.4M traded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by
March 3161.5%▲0.5
December 3137.6%▼1.0
November 3025.0%▼2.0
$41.6M traded
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Yashar72.5%▲4.0
Likud27.0%▼5.5
Together0.9%▲0.4
$1.2M traded
NATO x Russia military clash by
December 3127.5%▲2.0
October 3112.5%▲4.0
$9.6M traded
Israel Election: Likud number of seats
20-2438.5%▲1.5
<2031.6%▲0.3
25-2921.5%0.0
$814K traded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by
December 31, 202769.0%▲0.5
November 30, 202764.0%▲0.5
October 31, 202762.0%▲0.5
$9.0M traded
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms
Yes77.5%▼4.0
$824K traded
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23
No Hormuz Agreement93.6%▲6.7
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate3.8%0.0
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate2.6%▼6.1
$2.3M traded
Next leader out of power before 2027
None before 202747.0%▼3.0
Netanyahu - Israel PM30.0%▲0.5
Sánchez - Spanish PM6.2%▲3.3
$1.4M traded
Putin out as President of Russia by
June 30, 20279.5%▼1.0
December 31, 20262.1%▼0.2
$29.7M traded
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia71.5%▲2.0
Student List – Students Win29.5%▼1.0
$1.6M traded
Next Prime Minister of Romania
Luca Niculescu98.2%▲1.3
Ilie Bolojan0.4%▼0.1
Sorin Grindeanu0.4%0.0
$5.6M traded