Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?
$91K traded on Polymarket, $204 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $91K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $204 of it in the past day, with $22K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31 is 3 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pakistan takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.