What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
$2.1M traded on Polymarket, $14K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $2.1M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $14K of it in the past day, with $394K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Below $3,500 is 5 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.