Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 14:13 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Middle East / Iran

Iran

24 markets and 34 headlines in the past two days.

Markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by

December 317.5%▲1.0
October 310.8%0.0
$76.3M traded

US announces end of Iranian blockade by

March 3161.5%▲1.0
December 3137.5%▼1.1
November 3025.0%▼2.0
$41.6M traded

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through

October 2198.5%▲0.8
October 3186.5%▼1.0
November 1569.0%▼1.5
$37.2M traded

Iran leadership change by

June 30, 202725.5%0.0
December 3111.5%▼1.0
November 306.5%0.0
$27.6M traded

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027

Yes4.5%0.0
$27.6M traded

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by

December 3113.5%▼1.0
November 307.5%▼0.5
October 311.5%▼1.3
$20.1M traded

US-Iran ceasefire continues through

October 2292.9%▼2.1
October 2487.5%▼4.0
October 2881.5%▼6.0
$19.0M traded

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by

December 317.5%▼4.0
October 311.6%▼2.5
$18.2M traded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31

Yes12.5%▼2.0
$15.3M traded

Iran full airspace closure by

December 3132.5%▲1.0
October 318.0%▲1.0
$10.3M traded

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by

December 3133.0%▲3.5
November 3026.5%▲5.0
October 318.0%0.0
$3.2M traded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31

Yes1.1%▲0.5
$2.9M traded

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23

No Hormuz Agreement93.8%▲6.2
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate3.0%▼0.5
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate2.6%▼6.1
$2.3M traded

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by

December 3130.5%▼7.5
November 3026.0%▼1.5
November 210.8%▼5.3
$2.2M traded

Iran coup attempt by

December 31, 202721.0%▼2.5
December 31, 202611.0%0.0
$2.2M traded

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31

Steve Witkoff36.0%▼0.5
Jared Kushner35.0%▼2.0
Abbas Araghchi35.0%▼0.5
$1.6M traded

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms

No Hormuz Agreement87.5%▲5.0
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate7.0%▼5.3
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate3.5%▼1.4
$1.3M traded

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31

Yes4.6%▲0.8
$872K traded