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Israel

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Israel election odds

Tuesday, Oct 27

Markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election

Gadi Eisenkot48.1%▼1.2
Benjamin Netanyahu30.5%▲4.0
Naftali Bennett13.5%▲1.0
$49.5M traded

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through

October 2198.4%▲0.7
October 3187.5%0.0
November 1569.5%▼1.0
$37.3M traded

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by

December 31, 202733.5%0.0
June 30, 202721.0%▼1.0
March 31, 202713.5%0.0
$8.5M traded

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by

Yes3.8%▲0.1
$3.5M traded

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by

Yes14.5%▲0.5
$2.9M traded

Israel and Syria normalize relations by

Yes5.0%0.0
$2.2M traded

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027

Somaliland14.0%▼0.5
Jordan6.5%▲1.0
Syria5.7%0.0
$1.8M traded

Next leader out of power before 2027

None before 202747.0%▼2.5
Netanyahu - Israel PM30.0%▲0.5
Sánchez - Spanish PM5.1%▲2.2
$1.4M traded

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar72.5%▲2.5
Likud28.5%▼1.0
Together0.5%▲0.1
$1.3M traded

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..

Yes14.5%▼0.5
$1.1M traded

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31

Venezuela7.5%▼1.0
Lebanon6.5%0.0
Tunisia5.5%0.0
$928K traded

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31

Yes4.6%▲0.8
$872K traded

Israel Election: Likud number of seats

20-2440.0%▲5.0
<2032.6%▼5.0
25-2921.0%▼0.5
$816K traded

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by

Yes11.5%▲2.5
$777K traded

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026

Japan18.0%▲4.0
Saudi Arabia13.5%▲7.0
Germany13.5%0.0
$683K traded

Will Israel annex any territory by

Yes4.0%▼1.5
$539K traded

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027

Yes7.5%0.0
$479K traded

Israel military action against Beirut by

Yes11.5%0.0
$421K traded