Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
$2.4M traded on Polymarket, $57K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeThe numbers behind the chart
| Date | China | No meeting by December 31 | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | 20% | 55.5% | 8% |
| Jun 20, 2026 | 22% | 57.5% | 5% |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 11.5% | 73.5% | 5.1% |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 16.5% | 73.5% | 2.1% |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 40.5% | 50.5% | 0.7% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 69% | 26% | 2.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 74.5% | 23% | 1.4% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 87.5% | 12% | 0.4% |
About this market
Who prices it. $2.4M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $57K of it in the past day, with $1.0M in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on China is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No single hour or day crossed our alert threshold this week. Over the week China is up 5.5 points. The latest headline we matched to it is “Russia to send senior diplomats, military officials to upcoming peace talks in Abu Dhabi” (The Kyiv Independent, November 7, 2026).
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 54 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
Every outcome
In the news
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Zelensky says Oleshky ceasefire shows Russia can halt fighting but Putin is unwilling
Putin expands temporary administration of Japan Tobacco assets in Russia
Why are oil traders refusing to buy Russian diesel after Trump-Putin deal?
Russia launches massive strike on Kyiv
United States offers $20 million reward for information on 'Iran's nuclear program': CENTCOM
China says discussions underway on Xi-Trump-Putin meeting
Ahead of Trump-Xi meetings, US presses China on trade pledges
U.S. urges China to meet rare earths and agriculture commitments ahead of Trump-Xi meetings
Questions
What are the odds: Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China is at 87.5% on Polymarket as of 02:26 UTC, Nov 8, with $2.4M traded.
How does this market settle?
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
When does it settle?
By December 31, 2026.