Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 14:57 UTC, Oct 20
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United States

53 markets and 137 headlines in the past two days.

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2026 midterm election odds

Election Day Nov 3
Full coverage

2028 presidential election odds

Nov 7, 2028

Markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom15.8%▲0.3
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.2%▲0.4
Jon Ossoff14.7%▼0.5
$1.3B traded

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20.1%0.0
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.1%0.0
Jon Ossoff10.0%▼0.5
$717.7M traded

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance43.8%▼0.2
Marco Rubio15.1%▲0.9
Tucker Carlson3.0%0.0
$713.8M traded

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by

December 314.4%▼0.3
October 310.4%▼0.1
$74.3M traded

US announces end of Iranian blockade by

March 3163.0%▲1.5
December 3140.0%▲0.8
November 3031.0%▲4.5
$41.6M traded

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62.5%0.0
R Senate, D House27.5%0.0
Republicans Sweep8.5%0.0
$25.6M traded

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026

Yes5.8%▲0.2
$24.1M traded

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by

December 3114.5%0.0
November 307.5%▼0.5
October 311.3%▼0.4
$20.1M traded

US-Iran ceasefire continues through

October 2293.3%▼0.6
October 2488.0%▼3.5
October 2882.5%▼5.0
$19.0M traded

Which party will win the House in 2026

Democratic Party91.5%▲1.0
Republican Party8.5%▼1.0
$18.9M traded

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by

Yes3.5%▼0.1
$14.2M traded

Trump out as President before 2027

Yes4.5%▲0.9
$12.8M traded

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026

↑4.5k99.9%0.0
↑5k98.1%▲1.3
↑4.75k95.9%▼1.2
$8.2M traded

Which party will win the Senate in 2026

Democratic Party64.5%0.0
Republican Party36.5%0.0
$7.2M traded

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026

SpaceX70.0%▲7.5
Anthropic25.4%▼8.1
OpenAI0.4%0.0
$6.6M traded

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)62.5%0.0
Ken Paxton (R)36.5%▼2.0
$4.3M traded

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027

No meeting before 202794.7%▼1.0
US1.8%▼0.5
Turkey1.2%▲1.0
$3.8M traded

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections

≤4739.5%▼1.0
4816.5%0.0
4912.5%0.0
$3.2M traded