US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$20.1M traded on Polymarket, $68K in the past day.

December 31

13.5^%

24h ▼1.07d ▼1.0

November 30

7.5^%

24h ▼0.57d ▲1.0

How it has moved

Daily close

December 31November 30October 31

Every outcome

13.5%December 31▼1.0 7d

7.5%November 30▲1.0 7d

1.5%October 31▲0.5 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.

How it settles

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, including a 60-day extendable period in which both countries committed to negotiate toward a “final deal” regarding Iran’s nuclear program and other topics. This market resolves to “Yes” if a qualifying written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran has been mutually signed or adopted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the United States and Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents that substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying instrument, regardless of minor formatting, wording, or translation differences between the signed versions. Both physical s…

Full rules and market on Polymarket

Countries

United States, Iran

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