Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
$231K traded on Polymarket, $7K in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $231K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $7K of it in the past day, with $189K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by November 3, 2026, 15 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.