PricedNews / World / Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place
World · settles by Dec 31, 2027
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
$38K traded on Polymarket, $1K in the past day.
UAE
42.5%
24h ▼3.57d ▲1.5
USA
19.4%
24h ▲1.37d ▲9.6
How it has moved
Daily closeUAEUSATurkey
About this market
Who prices it. $38K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $1K of it in the past day, with $296K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on UAE is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week. The latest headline we matched to it is “Trinidad and Tobago Geopolitics Explained 2026” (The Rio Times, October 20, 2026).
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2027, 438 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict begins by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Every outcome
42.5%UAE▲1.5 7d
19.4%USA▲9.6 7d
18.5%Turkey▼2.5 7d
16.5%No Talks by December 31, 2027▲4.0 7d
4.0%China▲3.6 7d
4.0%Qatar▼0.9 7d
3.5%Switzerland▲0.1 7d
1.8%India▲0.1 7d
1.6%Saudi Arabia0.0 7d
0.6%Russia0.0 7d
0.6%Italy0.0 7d
0.6%Finland0.0 7d
0.6%Belarus0.0 7d
0.6%Poland0.0 7d
0.6%Other0.0 7d
0.4%Hungary0.0 7d
0.4%Germany0.0 7d
0.4%Austria0.0 7d
0.4%Slovakia0.0 7d
0.4%Kazakhstan0.0 7d
These add up to 121%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.