US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

$56K traded on Polymarket, $362 in the past day. Prices are delayed.

December 31

27.5^%

24h ▼6.57d ▼13.5

October 31

17.5^%

24h ▲6.07d ▲9.5

How it has moved

Daily close

December 31October 31

Every outcome

27.5%December 31▼13.5 7d

17.5%October 31▲9.5 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.

How it settles

On December 14, 2020, the United States imposed CAATSA sanctions on Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) in response to Turkey’s acquisition of the Russian S-400 air defense system (see: https://2017-2021.state.gov/the-united-states-sanctions-turkey-under-caatsa-231/). On July 7, 2026 U.S. President Donald Trump indicated his intent to lift sanctions off Turkey(see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-says-will-lift-turkey-sanctions-decide-selling-f-35s-2026-07-07/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, termination, revocation, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting CAATSA sanctions on Turkey, Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB), or covered Turkish officials by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which direct partial or full sancti…

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United States, Russia, Turkey

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