PricedNews / World / US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026
World · settles by Nov 30, 2026
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?
$56K traded on Polymarket, $198 in the past day.
Yes
12.0%
24h ▲7.07d ▼19.5
How it has moved
Daily closeYes
The numbers behind the chart
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | 17% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | 15% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | 5% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 12% |
About this market
Who prices it. $56K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $198 of it in the past day, with $2K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Yes is 4 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No single hour or day crossed our alert threshold this week. Over the week Yes is down 19.5 points.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by November 30, 2026, 23 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
Moves we wrote up
US imposes new sanctions on China by: November 30 falls 6.5 points in an hour
Questions
What are the odds: US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?
Yes is at 12.0% on Polymarket as of 02:15 UTC, Nov 8, with $56K traded.
When does it settle?
By November 30, 2026.