Iran coup attempt by...?

$2.2M traded on Polymarket, $26K in the past day.

December 31, 2027

21.0^%

24h ▼2.57d ▲2.5

December 31, 2026

11.0^%

24h 0.07d 0.0

How it has moved

Daily close

December 31, 2027December 31, 2026

Every outcome

21.0%December 31, 2027▲2.5 7d

11.0%December 31, 20260.0 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. Th…

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