Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:38 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / World / Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte
World · settles by Dec 31, 2026

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

$20K traded on Polymarket, $183 in the past day. Thin market: under $25K traded, so one order can move it. Prices are delayed.

Yes
73.5%
24h ▼1.07d ▲13.5

How it has moved

Daily close
Yes
0%25%50%75%100%JunJulAugSepOct73.5%

About this market

Who prices it. $20K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $183 of it in the past day, with $16K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Yes is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read. At under $25K traded it counts as a thin market.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.