Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 14:16 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / World / Will Russia target Kyiv on
World · settles by Nov 1, 2026

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

$733K traded on Polymarket, $55K in the past day. Prices are delayed.

October 21
92.0%
24h ▲1.07d ▲24.5
October 27
88.0%
24h ▲1.07d ▲5.0

How it has moved

Daily close
October 21October 27October 28
0%25%50%75%100%92%87.5%87%

Every outcome

92.0%October 21▲24.5 7d
88.0%October 27▲5.0 7d
87.5%October 28▲4.5 7d
86.5%October 26▲14.0 7d
86.0%October 30▲12.5 7d
85.0%October 22▲18.5 7d
85.0%October 24▲2.5 7d
83.5%October 25▲0.5 7d
82.5%October 23▲13.5 7d
79.5%October 29▲23.5 7d
9.6%October 17▼72.9 7d

These add up to 865%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.