Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 14:59 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / World / Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil
World · settles by Oct 25, 2026

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

$61K traded on Polymarket, $2K in the past day.

Flávio Bolsonaro
15.5%
24h ▼8.07d ▼1.0
Augusto Cury
0.7%
24h 0.07d 0.0

How it has moved

Daily close
Flávio BolsonaroAugusto CuryLula da Silva
0%25%50%75%100%SepOct18%0.7%0.6%

About this market

Who prices it. $61K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $2K of it in the past day, with $67K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Flávio Bolsonaro is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by October 25, 2026, 6 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

Every outcome

15.5%Flávio Bolsonaro▼1.0 7d
0.7%Augusto Cury0.0 7d
0.6%Lula da Silva▲0.2 7d
0.5%Romeu Zema▼0.2 7d
0.5%Renan Santos0.0 7d
0.5%Ronaldo Caiado▼0.2 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.