Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 14:59 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / World / Which coalition will form the next Romanian government
World · settles by Dec 31, 2027

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

$110K traded on Polymarket, $7K in the past day. Prices are delayed.

PSD
98.7%
24h ▲5.17d ▲74.7
Other
0.5%
24h ▼1.67d ▼22.4

How it has moved

Daily close
PSDOtherPNL
0%25%50%75%100%JunJulAugSepOct98.6%0.6%0.4%

About this market

Who prices it. $110K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $7K of it in the past day, with $390K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on PSD is 1.9 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2027, 438 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation. A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.

Every outcome

98.7%PSD▲74.7 7d
0.5%Other▼22.4 7d
0.4%PSD + PNL + USR▼5.4 7d
0.4%PNL▼2.8 7d
0.4%PSD + UDMR▼16.1 7d
0.4%PSD + PNL + UDMR▼10.7 7d
0.4%USR + UDMR + AUR▼0.6 7d
0.4%UDMR▼1.8 7d
0.4%AUR▼1.5 7d
0.4%PSD + AUR▼5.0 7d
0.3%PNL + UDMR▼4.8 7d
0.3%UDMR + AUR▼5.8 7d
0.3%PNL + AUR▼1.1 7d
0.3%PSD + PNL + USR + AUR▼2.4 7d
0.3%PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR▼3.3 7d
0.2%PSD + USR▼1.9 7d
0.2%PSD + PNL + AUR▼3.3 7d
0.2%PSD + UDMR + AUR▼0.9 7d
0.2%PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR▼0.8 7d
0.2%PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR▼2.4 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.