What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?
$1.9M traded on Polymarket, $266K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeThe numbers behind the chart
| Date | ↓ 74,000 | ↑ 78,000 |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | 31% | – |
| Nov 5, 2026 | 5.5% | – |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 46% | 46.5% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | 21.5% | 13% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 14.5% | 10.5% |
About this market
Who prices it. $1.9M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $266K of it in the past day, with $968K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Above 76,000 is 4 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. The biggest move in the past week: ↑ 76,000 went from 91.0% to 83.0% on November 8, 2026.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by November 9, 2026, 2 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?
Every outcome
These add up to 112%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
Moves we wrote up
What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8: Below 74,000 rises 6.0 points in an hour
What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8: Below 74,000 rises 5.3 points in an hour
Questions
What are the odds: What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?
Above 76,000 is at 82.0% on Polymarket as of 02:01 UTC, Nov 8, with $1.9M traded.
How does this market settle?
What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?
When does it settle?
By November 9, 2026.