What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
$4.0M traded on Polymarket, $120K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeThe numbers behind the chart
| Date | ↓ 75,000 | ↑ 77,500 | ↓ 72,500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | – | – | 56.5% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | – | – | 51.5% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | – | – | 30.5% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | – | 83% | 62.5% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | 88% | 82.5% | 61.5% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 90% | 80.5% | 60.5% |
About this market
Who prices it. $4.0M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $120K of it in the past day, with $1.7M in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Below 75,000 is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No single hour or day crossed our alert threshold this week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 1, 2026, 24 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
Every outcome
These add up to 486%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
Moves we wrote up
What price will Bitcoin hit in November: Below 75,000 rises 5.0 points in an hour
Questions
What are the odds: What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
Below 75,000 is at 90.0% on Polymarket as of 02:01 UTC, Nov 8, with $4.0M traded.
How does this market settle?
What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
When does it settle?
By December 1, 2026.