PricedNews / World / Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on
World · settles by Oct 31, 2026
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
$1.0M traded on Polymarket, $9K in the past day. Prices are delayed.
October 6
87.5%
24h ▼7.07d ▲9.5
October 16
81.5%
24h ▼3.57d ▲37.5
How it has moved
Daily closeOctober 6October 16October 17
About this market
Who prices it. $1.0M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $9K of it in the past day, with $298K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on October 6 is 7 points, a wide spread, so the price can jump on small orders.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week. The latest headline we matched to it is “UK To Deploy Fighter Jets To Support Saudi Arabia Against Houthi Attacks” (NDTV, October 20, 2026).
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by October 31, 2026, 12 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time.
Every outcome
87.5%October 6▲9.5 7d
81.5%October 16▲37.5 7d
71.5%October 17▲25.0 7d
67.5%October 18▼2.5 7d
67.5%October 21▲17.0 7d
64.5%October 29▲15.0 7d
63.5%October 28▼10.5 7d
62.5%October 20▲4.5 7d
62.5%October 30▼2.0 7d
62.0%October 24▲11.5 7d
62.0%October 27▲19.5 7d
61.5%October 25▼6.0 7d
60.0%October 23▲4.5 7d
59.5%October 31▼4.5 7d
54.5%October 22▼1.5 7d
40.0%October 26▼9.0 7d
16.0%October 19▼20.0 7d
These add up to 1044%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.