Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

$629K traded on Polymarket, $10K in the past day. Prices are delayed.

December 31

71.5^%

24h 0.07d ▼6.0

November 30

50.0^%

24h ▼1.57d ▼9.5

How it has moved

Daily close

December 31November 30October 31

Every outcome

71.5%December 31▼6.0 7d

50.0%November 30▼9.5 7d

15.0%October 31▼16.5 7d

These add up to 137%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or …

Full rules and market on Polymarket

Countries

Ukraine, Russia

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