Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
$882K traded on Polymarket, $13K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $882K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $13K of it in the past day, with $86K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on January 31, 2027 is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
Every outcome
These add up to 118%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.